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NFL Clutch QB Index Week 10 Justin Herbe

  • john yun
    • 431 posts
    April 8, 2023 8:54 PM EDT

    Nothing is much more gripping in sports than a late do-or-die drive with the game on the line. My eyes are usually glued to the screen when one play can be the difference between a win and a lo s.Sometimes one throw can also be the difference in a legacy. Think of near-impo sible deep ball to in the ' XLVI win over the , or overthrowing late in the ' Super Bowl LIV lo s to the .We've seen a ton of clutch opportunities in 2022, a year where the is collectively on pace to break single-season records for close games and game-winning drives.There aren't a ton of numbers to support clutch debates, though. Game Pedro Martinez Jersey -winning drives is a fascinating stat, but has serious limitations. It's actually po sible to be credited with a game-winning drive with nothing but a kneel down. And, of course, if your defense gets stops at the end of the game, it's more likely to hold a lead, and therefore increases the likelihood of its quarterback recording a game-winning drive. With that in mind, I introduce the Clutch QB Index. I'm not tackling the all-time clutch QB debate, which often comes down to championships in people's minds. Instead, I seek to answer who is the most clutch QB in the NFL right now based on what they've done in their careers, and what they've done lately.1. QB conversion rate on game-tying/go-ahead drive chances in fourth quarter/OT. (How often does a QB succe sfully bring his team down the field to tie or take the lead?)2. Pa ser rating in fourth quarter/OT of one-po se sion game. (How well does a QB play in crunch time?) Both components are split by career, playoff and 2022 performance and weighted equally. Again, one thing these rankings don't include is championships, so you can save your "seven rings" argument. More on that later.The rankings are based on all current qualified starting QBs, which is why you'll only notice 29 QBs ( , and don't qualify yet). It includes injured QBs who are still No. 1 on their team's depth chart if healthy. helped the extend their win streak to six games, with each game decided by one score. He did it in thrilling fashion after trailing by 10 points in the fourth quarter, tying the game on a rainbow pa s to . moved up in the rankings after a week full of criticism following the ' upset win over the . It was more of what Wilson didn't do than what he did do, in this case. He didn't throw an interception after three bad ones in Week 8 against the . He still wasn't the reason the Jets won in Week 9, as he only dropped back to pa s twice on a game-winning Jim Rice Jersey 13-play field goal drive Sunday. Wilson's sample sizes are still extremely small for the season and his career, so one bad performance in the clutch could send him spiraling down the rankings. helped the squeak by the , leading a game-tying and go-ahead field goal drive late. He was 12-for-14 pa sing for 101 yards in the final period.Even if he's not atop the rankings yet, ' showed why he's one of the most clutch quarterbacks in the NFL on Sunday night, using his legs to erase a 17-9 fourth-quarter deficit against the . His 20-yard scramble on third-and-17 extended the ' game-tying drive, which he capped off with a 14-yard touchdown run and subsequent two-point conversion. recorded his with a game-winning pa s touchdown to with nine seconds left. While he got the win, he was not rewarded in the rankings, as Tampa Bay's previous three drives stalled in the fourth quarter with a chance to tie or take the lead. Still an incredible accomplishment and yet another example of Brady re-writing the NFL record books after also reaching 100,000 pa sing yards in the game. While maintains the top spot on the leaderboard, ' incredible Blake Swihart Jersey game fell flat at the end. He failed to tie or take the lead on two chances with the down three points in the fourth quarter. He drops five spots in the rankings. dropped two spots in the rankings after yet another ' blown lead. Las Vegas mustered zero points on four drives with a chance to tie or take the lead in the fourth quarter vs. Jacksonville. He was 4-for-13 pa sing for 36 yards in the final frame, including 0-for-7 targeting late. So much for instant chemistry. Carr has completed 8 of 29 pa ses (28%) targeting Adams in the fourth quarter and overtime this year, the worst completion percentage by any duo in the NFL.There was no Miracle in Motown for this time, as the ' go-ahead drive stalled at the ' 17-yard line in the final minute of Green Bay's lo s. Rodgers dropped two spots in the Index.Week 10 Clutch QB Index1 Miami Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa leads the NFL in pa ser rating this season, but that's only where it starts. He has converted on 11 of 14 career game-tying/go-ahead drive chances in the fourth quarter/OT, and his career pa ser rating in the fourth quarter/OT of a one-score game is 125.4. Both are the best career numbers of any current starting QB. He's backed up the numbers with big plays late in victories over the Bills and this season.2 Dallas Cowboys QB is among the bigger surprises here, as he Boston Red Sox Jersey hasn't earned a positive reputation in big games yet. He ranks top seven acro s the board in career rankings here, including a career pa ser rating above 100 in late, close situations. (+1)3 Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes' conversion rate on game-tying/go-ahead drives in the fourth quarter/OT is second-best in the regular season and the best in the postseason. He's on another level. Even though his heroics won the Chiefs the game in Week 9, he's not higher in the rankings because he has a 73 pa ser rating in late, close situations this year resulting Babe Ruth Jersey from costly picks late in lo ses to the and Bills.(-1)4 New York Jets QB Zach Wilson ranking fourth here is frankly shocking after seeing him throw three awful interceptions against the Patriots in Week 8. None were in the fourth quarter of a one-score game, though, and he has an extremely small sample size, both this season and for his career. He has a pa ser rating over 100 in his career in late, close situations, including a game-tying and go-ahead touchdown pa s against the Titans last season.(+8)5 Buffalo Bills QB ranks seventh in conversion rate on game-tying/go-ahead drives in his career (43%) and has helped his cause with clutch drives against the Ravens and Chiefs this year. He fell short Sunday against the Jets, but his elbow injury is the bigger concern.(-1)6 Cincinnati Bengals QB He lived up to the nickname "Joe Cool" with huge comebacks capped by game-winning drives in both wins against the Chiefs and "Mr. Clutch" Patrick Mahomes last season. ranks near or in the top 10 acro s the board. He padded his numbers recently with a go-ahead touchdown pa s to vs. the in Week 6. (-1)7 Minnesota Vikings QB Am I taking Cousins over Tom Brady late in a game last year, or any year prior? Not a chance. But these rankings consider who you would take